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<rss version="2.0" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><channel><title>Neueste Publikationen – IDOS</title><link>https://www.idos-research.de/</link><description>Publikationen des German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS)</description><language>de</language><generator>TYPO3 EXT:news</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2026 13:40:36 +0200</lastBuildDate><item><title>Three implications of the oil shock for the turbulent political economy of development cooperation</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/three-implications-of-the-oil-shock-for-the-turbulent-political-economy-of-development-cooperation-1/</link><description>The 2026 US–Israel–Iran war has produced what the International Energy Agency describes as the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market. Brent crude rose from around $70 at the end of February to a peak of about $140 in early April before settling around $100 as of early June 2026. In a new Brief Andy Sumner and Stephan Klingebiel argue that the significance of the oil shock lies not only in the price increase itself but in its timing. </description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The 2026 US–Israel–Iran war has produced what the International Energy Agency describes as the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market. Brent crude rose from around $70 at the end of February to a peak of about $140 in early April before settling around $100 as of early June 2026. In a new Brief Andy Sumner and Stephan Klingebiel argue that the significance of the oil shock lies not only in the price increase itself but in its timing.&nbsp;</p>]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Sumner, Andy / Stephan Klingebiel</author><pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2026 13:40:36 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/three-implications-of-the-oil-shock-for-the-turbulent-political-economy-of-development-cooperation-1/</guid></item><item><title>Three implications of the oil shock for the turbulent political economy of development cooperation</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/three-implications-of-the-oil-shock-for-the-turbulent-political-economy-of-development-cooperation/</link><description>The 2026 US–Israel–Iran war has produced what the International Energy Agency describes as the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market. Brent crude rose from around $70 at the end of February to a peak of about $140 in early April before settling around $100 as of early June 2026. In a new Brief we argue that the significance of the oil shock lies not only in the price increase itself but in its timing.</description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The 2026 US–Israel–Iran war has produced what the International Energy Agency describes as the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market. Brent crude rose from around $70 at the end of February to a peak of about $140 in early April before settling around $100 as of early June 2026. In a new Brief we argue that the significance of the oil shock lies not only in the price increase itself but in its timing.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Sumner, Andy / Stephan Klingebiel</author><pubDate>Wed, 17 Jun 2026 09:17:34 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/three-implications-of-the-oil-shock-for-the-turbulent-political-economy-of-development-cooperation/</guid></item><item><title>Social contracts and environmental change: conceptualizing interdependencies</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/social-contracts-and-environmental-change-conceptualizing-interdependencies/</link><description></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Environmental change can affect social contracts, which are the relationships between societal groups and between such groups and the state. Droughts, river pollution and rising sea levels often change the distribution of resources within countries or harm some societal groups more than others, raising questions about compensation. Social contracts can also trigger environmental change, mainly because the environment and future generations cannot themselves participate in social contract negotiations. Many social contracts allow influential elites to overuse or pollute natural resources, harming the environment, other societal groups and future generations. Drawing on existing social contract and environmental governance research, this introductory article develops a conceptual approach for analyzing the bidirectional effects between the environment and the relations between different parts of society and the state. It presents different types of interaction using multiple examples. This approach helps to identify starting points for the negotiation of more sustainable and inclusive social contracts.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Dombrowsky, Ines / Annabelle Houdret / Markus Loewe / Tobias Zumbraegel</author><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 09:23:35 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/social-contracts-and-environmental-change-conceptualizing-interdependencies/</guid></item><item><title>Operationalizing social contracts: a new measurement of government deliverables</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/operationalizing-social-contracts-a-new-measurement-of-government-deliverables/</link><description></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The international development debate is increasingly referring to the notion of the “social contract”. In this paper, we measure what governments give societies, a core element of social contracts. To enable social contract comparison across countries and over time, we develop indices to capture the three “Ps”: <i>protection</i> against internal and external threats, <i>provision</i> of social and economic services, and political <i>participation</i>. These indices are composed of indicators, which are mainly input variables to gauge the willingness of governments to deliver the three Ps. Subsequently, we calculate the values of 154 countries for the three indices around the year 2019. The results show that the indices are useful and valid. They highly correlate with each other and with other indicators such as per capita income and the Human Development Index. Yet, these correlations are not perfect, meaning that the indices are not another redundant development index. They add information and value. Finally, we make a first step in identifying patterns in the results. Countries in Latin America were doing comparatively well on average in terms of political <i>participation</i> in 2019. When controlling for per capita income, governments in sub-Saharan Africa, were delivering disproportionately more on average in terms of <i>protection</i> and political <i>participation</i>, but less so in terms of <i>provision</i>. Countries in the Middle East and North Africa fail mainly with regard to political <i>participation</i>.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Loewe, Markus / Amirah El-Haddad / Tina Zintl</author><pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2026 13:46:06 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/operationalizing-social-contracts-a-new-measurement-of-government-deliverables/</guid></item><item><title>Pastoralism for Sustainable Development: Recognise, Respect, Restore</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/the-current-column/article/pastoralism-for-sustainable-development-recognise-respect-restore/</link><description>Given its contributions to food security, biodiversity conservation, climate protection, and rural development, this recognition is overdue.</description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Bonn, 15 June 2026.</strong> This year’s annual World Desertification and Drought Day on June 17 falls within the International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists. This is a good occasion to draw attention to the crucial role of pastoral management of rangelands for sustainable (rural) development.</p><p>The annually celebrated World Desertification and Drought Day on 17 June 2026 falls into the International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists. This is an occasion to remind that pastoralism is an important element of global land use and that sustainable pastoralism must be promoted to enhance global (rural) sustainable development. Pastoralism means that livestock is not (only) kept on a permanent farm but part of the year and/or part of the herds roams in the landscape in search of fodder (grass).</p><p>The International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists is guided by the motto “Recognize, Respect, and Restore.” The first step – recognize – is to make the importance of pastoralism more visible. Given its contributions to food security, biodiversity conservation, climate protection, and rural development, this recognition is long overdue. In fact, permanent natural grasslands (grass is the typical vegetation cover of rangelands), covering more than 3.2 billion hectares, are the second-largest vegetation type on Earth after forests and occupy roughly twice as much land as cropland. Globally, between 200 and 500 million people, depending on the definition used, rely on pastoralism for their livelihoods. Pastoralists make a substantial contribution to global meat production; in addition, they provide milk, hides, manure, and other products. In some African countries, such as Somalia, pastoralism even forms the backbone of the economy. In many regions, rangelands also provide the foundation for tourism and recreation.</p><p>However, the importance of rangelands extends far beyond their economic function. Natural grasslands store large amounts of carbon, protect soils from erosion, regulate water cycles, and support high levels of biodiversity. Depending on the way they are used, these functions can be maintained and even enhanced or seriously deteriorated. Sustainable pastoralism follows the available vegetation in the landscape, avoids overgrazing, allowing vegetation, including the scarce trees, to recover. Animals trample grass into the soil, thereby increasing soil organic carbon. In contrast, unsustainable pastoralism exists if herds are overstocked, overgrazing leading to vegetation degeneration up to bare soils. This makes the land prone to wind and water erosion, sand and dust storms and losing its carbon storage function.</p><p>The second step - respect - aims to preserve the achievements and potential of pastoralism. This, however, should also clearly see the challenges. In traditional pastoralist systems vegetation availability and herd density roughly corresponded, including through losses of (parts of) the herds in times of droughts. In modern times, this balance can be challenged in multiple ways. For instance, loss of parts of the grazing/ecosystem e.g. to agriculture can deprive pastoralists of important sources of permanent, seasonal or reserve grazing areas. Infrastructure and border controls may cut the movement of herds. Creation of fenced ranches and compartmentalisation of rangelands for more intensive grazing can increase the carrying capacity in the short run but also deteriorate or change the ecosystems, depending on rainfall patterns, vegetation and management system.</p><p>The third step - restoration - focuses on correcting developments that have weakened rangelands and pastoralist livelihoods. Important measures include greater tolerance and active support for the mobility of livestock herds, effective protection of animals, and the restoration of floodplains or peatlands that can be used for variable grazing. Livestock migration corridors must be maintained, restored, and legally protected. The expansion of irrigated agriculture or large-scale ranching operations must be regulated in a way to respect the interests of pastoralists. Improvements in animal health, marketing systems, and infrastructure can increase incomes and can be combined with measures to prevent overgrazing. Investments in animal health can also reduce both the risk and fear of disease transmission and epidemics, thereby facilitating herd mobility.&nbsp;</p><p>Nevertheless, the long-term trend toward sedentarisation is unlikely to be completely stopped or even reversed. Many pastoralists themselves choose settled lifestyles because these offer better access to education, healthcare, and additional sources of income. Population growth and climate change also place limits on pastoral systems. These moving factors make balanced and location-specific consideration of competing interests all the more important.</p><p>Despite its importance, pastoralism often receives little attention in politics. A prerequisite for more attention is the stronger involvement of pastoralists in decision-making processes. Their representative organisations must be strengthened, and their participation rights institutionally embedded. If this can be achieved, many of the goals embodied in “Recognize, Respect, and Restore” will follow. Developed countries can do more in their own countries in (some of) these regards, as well as encourage and support their partner countries to do the same. According to the broad spectrum of issues, potential entry points are numerous: In policy dialogue and project planning on rural areas, human rights of indigenous people, environmental protection, economic development, peace and security, poverty and food security.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>The Current Column</category><author>Brüntrup, Michael</author><pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2026 10:51:27 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/the-current-column/article/pastoralism-for-sustainable-development-recognise-respect-restore/</guid></item><item><title>National policy coherence counts for reducing inequality in Global climate and development agendas</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/national-policy-coherence-counts-for-reducing-inequality-in-global-climate-and-development-agendas/</link><description></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>International institutions promote policy coherence as crucial to the effective and fair implementation of global sustainability agendas, though the evidence for its benefits is slim. We present here the first systematic cross-country dataset on the consequences of national government efforts to promote policy coherence for vulnerable groups in society. We confirm that coherence is perceived to be beneficial for most groups. However, we find vulnerable groups are largely perceived to bear the brunt of incoherence, while traditionally powerful groups benefit from it in some cases. Based on these findings, we argue that coherence can play an important role in reducing inequality and ensuring countries “Leave No One Behind” in implementing climate and development goals.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Browne, Katherine / Adis Dzebo / Zoha Shawoo / Mario Cardenas / Pierrick Chalaye / Alexia Faus Onbargi / Cassilde Muhoza / Patricia Nicdao / Nokwethaba Makhanya / Navam Niles / Priyatma Singh</author><pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 10:03:15 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/national-policy-coherence-counts-for-reducing-inequality-in-global-climate-and-development-agendas/</guid></item><item><title>A 12-target global framework for measuring drought resilience: insights from a multi-country review</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/a-12-target-global-framework-for-measuring-drought-resilience-insights-from-a-multi-country-review/</link><description></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Droughts are slow-onset disasters with severe environmental, economic, and social consequences, disproportionately affecting regions with limited resources and institutional capacity, which is further exacerbated by climate change and land use change. Key challenges to effective drought resilience include socioeconomic disparities, fragmented policies, financial constraints, and governance weaknesses. To address these gaps, this study develops indicators for assessing drought preparedness and resilience across different economic contexts. A review of 16 national drought and water policies produced a framework comprising 12 global targets, 45 sub-targets, and 129 indicators aligned with existing international frameworks. Indicators are organized into four thematic focus areas: (i) Fundamental Needs &amp; Agricultural Resilience, (ii) Proactive Monitoring &amp; Crisis Response, (iii) Ecosystem &amp; Resource Sustainability, and (iv) Institutional Strengthening &amp; Financial Resilience. The framework is designed to standardize best practices, improve cooperation, and guide resilience-building across diverse contexts while distilling shared dimensions of preparedness and resilience. The analysis emphasizes the role of SMART (Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, and Time-bound) indicators in proactive drought management, where governance, leadership, and evidence-based policymaking are as critical as financial and technological resources. It recommends flexible measurement tools and institutionalized assessment mechanisms to track progress and refine strategies, enabling a shift from reactive crisis response to long-term resilience, strengthening accountability and enhancing global drought preparedness.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Sarma, Monalicha / Michael Brüntrup</author><pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 09:14:40 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/a-12-target-global-framework-for-measuring-drought-resilience-insights-from-a-multi-country-review/</guid></item><item><title>Understanding loss and damage in West African climate policies: a comparative analysis of national approaches in five countries</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/understanding-loss-and-damage-in-west-african-climate-policies-a-comparative-analysis-of-national-approaches-in-five-countries/</link><description></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Climate-induced Loss and Damage (L&amp;D) is becoming a defining challenge for global climate governance, especially in West Africa, where adaptation limits are increasingly surpassed. Yet, the literature has largely overlooked how national governments in Africa conceptualize, operationalize, and govern L&amp;D. Existing studies tend to focus on international finance debates or localized impacts, leaving a gap in understanding the national policy frameworks shaping L&amp;D responses. This paper addresses this gap through a comparative analysis of five West African countries, Burkina Faso, Ghana, Nigeria, Senegal, and Sierra Leone, structured around four thematic dimensions: conceptual clarity, scope and depth of losses, policy integration, and institutional readiness.<br>Drawing on more than 60 official policy documents, including National Adaptation Plans, disaster frameworks, and climate legislation, the study applies an interpretive scoring framework and proposes a three-stage typology of L&amp;D policy engagement (Nascent, Emerging, Integrated). The results show that Senegal and Ghana fall into the Emerging category, with partial recognition of L&amp;D concepts but limited institutionalization in formal policy architecture. Nigeria, Burkina Faso, and Sierra Leone remain Nascent, where L&amp;D is either subsumed under adaptation and humanitarian action or only referenced anecdotally. No country has yet reached the Integrated stage. Across all five cases, economic losses in agriculture and infrastructure are frequently reported, while non-economic losses such as displacement, cultural erosion, and psychological harm remain weakly specified. Institutional arrangements for L&amp;D are fragmented in national frameworks, suggesting uneven preparedness for engagement with emerging international L&amp;D governance mechanisms, including the Santiago Network and the Fund for responding to Loss and Damage.<br>The findings suggest that the absence of formal L&amp;D strategies in many national policy documents may limit the visibility of irreversible climate impacts and complicate future claims-making in international arenas. By advancing a systematic baseline of how L&amp;D is framed in national policies and introducing a heuristic typology for cross-country comparison, this study contributes conceptually, empirically, and policy-relevantly to debates on climate justice and the evolving governance of L&amp;D in the Global South.<br>Key policy insights:<br>- Non-economic losses remain under-recognized in national climate policies, limiting justice-oriented approaches to L&amp;D governance.<br>- Stronger integration of L&amp;D across adaptation, disaster risk reduction, and development planning is needed to improve policy coherence and institutional coordination.<br>- Establishing dedicated L&amp;D focal points, clearer institutional mandates, and links to existing risk-financing instruments could strengthen national engagement with emerging global L&amp;D mechanisms.<br>- Embedding L&amp;D more explicitly within NDCs, NAPs, and related reporting frameworks could improve strategic positioning within the FRLD and Santiago Network processes.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Okunola, Olasunkanmi Habeeb / Susan S. Ekoh</author><pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 12:46:16 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/understanding-loss-and-damage-in-west-african-climate-policies-a-comparative-analysis-of-national-approaches-in-five-countries/</guid></item><item><title>The risks of climate-nature silos: why we need alignment and integration between environmental agendas</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/the-risks-of-climate-nature-silos-why-we-need-alignment-and-integration-between-environmental-agendas/</link><description></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This report makes a simple case: because the environmental crises we face are intertwined, our responses to them must be integrated. The predominant policy framing of these crises through the lenses of a suite of climate, biodiversity and land or ocean metrics currently obscures the reality of a single nature-climate system that critically determines human wellbeing; the challenge for humanity is to manage this complex system in ways that reduce overall risks. Addressing one crisis within that system (be it climate change,<br>biodiversity loss or land degradation) won’t stop the others, while addressing them in isolation is both perilous and inefficient.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Pettoreli, Nathalie et al. </author><pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2026 14:08:04 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/the-risks-of-climate-nature-silos-why-we-need-alignment-and-integration-between-environmental-agendas/</guid></item><item><title>Who gets a seat at the table? Bonn&#039;s climate talks have a visa problem</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/the-current-column/article/who-gets-a-seat-at-the-table-bonns-climate-talks-have-a-visa-problem/</link><description>Germany&#039;s consulates must not become the first barrier to legitimate global governance</description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bonn, 08 June 2026. <strong>Every year, the world's climate negotiators gather in Bonn. Every year, visa barriers exclude Global South delegates — undermining Germany's commitment to inclusive multilateralism.</strong></p><p>Today, the 64th session of the UNFCCC Subsidiary Bodies (SB64) opens at Bonn's World Conference Center. Over 5,000 delegates, government negotiators, and civil society representatives gather here to prepare COP31, taking place later this year in Turkey. The Subsidiary Bodies are the engine room of global climate diplomacy, where technical groundwork is laid, positions are negotiated, and coalitions are built. Both, party delegates and non-party stakeholders are formally welcome – but participants from the Global South face a range of obstacles to participation: accreditation, travel costs, accommodation, and visas. The latter is distinct as it could be addressed directly by Germany as permanent UNFCCC host.</p><p>Visa barriers to Global South participation in climate meetings are neither new nor unique to Germany. As far back as 2008,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.iied.org/european-visa-obstacles-exclude-many-un-climate-talks" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">IIED raised concerns</a> about the exclusion of delegates from least developed countries from UN climate negotiations in Europe due to visa delays. For the Bonn sessions SB60 in 2024, 223 delegates from Africa and Asia&nbsp;<a href="https://www.climatechangenews.com/2024/06/14/visa-chaos-for-developing-country-delegates-mars-bonn-climate-talks/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">were documented</a> to experience difficulties of getting visas in time or at all: 25&nbsp;<a href="https://www.fr.de/politik/klimakonferenz-in-bonn-aktive-aus-globalem-sueden-erhalten-oft-kein-visum-93778022.html" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">were&nbsp;denied outright</a>, 167 applications were left unprocessed and 37 receiving visas delayed – leaving countries including Burundi, Cameroon, Egypt, Morocco, and Rwanda&nbsp;<a href="https://www.africanewsanalysis.com/africanewsanalysis-exclusive-interview-with-proscovier-vikman-uganda-country-envoy-at-the-climate-change-conference-in-bonn-germany/28/07/31/09/06/2024/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">without a single representative</a> in the opening days. In 2025,&nbsp;<a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1d4q2gS_UT5pL62AFsh3MsYld6zXdHFJno5u_c9KWo-I/edit?tab=t.0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">reported cases</a> had risen to 298. The recurring reasons include refused appointments, requirements to apply in distant third countries, and denials citing alleged doubts about return intentions. Frustration about this has been voiced frequently, by delegates in the closing plenary of the Bonn sessions or, in a less diplomatic tone by the civil society network&nbsp;<a href="https://climatenetwork.org/resource/eco-6-sb60/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">CAN, calling on Germany to “end its visa war on African Delegates”</a>.&nbsp;</p><p>Behind these figures are people with formal accreditation, a concrete work plan, and often full funding, who are still unable to attend. As a young delegate from Asia described: "Definitely visa challenges are one of the biggest barriers I have. Coming from the Global South, we have to spend like two to three months just running to the embassy for a visa, requesting it, appealing again and again. Many of my colleagues didn't get the visa, even they had full funding, even a complete plan on how we were going to work together — <a href="https://www.snis.ch/projects-details/2024-de-pryck/r/A5oa5zt7DKhtuR" target="_blank" title="Opens a" rel="noreferrer">they were not able to be here</a>." This is not an individual misfortune. It is a structural barrier that excludes precisely those voices, negotiators from the least developed countries, young activists, and frontline community representatives, whose presence is critical to the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01436597.2019.1596023" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">legitimacy of the multilateral climate process</a>.</p><p>The argument that visa barriers are administratively unavoidable does not hold. Host countries of recent COPs in the UAE, Azerbaijan, and Brazil all introduced dedicated fast-track procedures for accredited UNFCCC participants. Crucially, so have Schengen member states.&nbsp;<a href="https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2009/810/oj/eng" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Article 25(1) of the Schengen Visa Code</a> explicitly permits member states to issue visas where "international obligations" require it.&nbsp;<a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20151102073237/http:/www.cop21.gouv.fr/fr/espace-medias/salle-de-presse/visas-un-dispositif-mis-en-place-chaque-cop" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">For COP21 in Paris</a>, France used this provision to grant accredited participants short-stay visas upon presenting their accreditation letter alone, exempt from standard supporting documents.&nbsp;<a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20220808080838/https:/www.miteco.gob.es/en/cop25/delegados/visados.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">For COP25,</a> within barely four weeks of notice, Spain issued centralised instructions to all 182 of its consulates worldwide to guarantee a speedy procedure and negotiated agreements with other Schengen states for countries without Spanish representation.</p><p>Before the 2026 SB64, over 80 signatories, ranging from Amnesty International to the Zimbabwe People's Land Rights Movement, reminded Germany as home to the Bonn sessions in an&nbsp;<a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1d4q2gS_UT5pL62AFsh3MsYld6zXdHFJno5u_c9KWo-I/edit?tab=t.0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">open letter</a> that the&nbsp;credibility of multilateral processes rests on who is in the room. Inclusive multilateralism is not only a matter of what is negotiated — it is a matter of who gets to negotiate. Germany, as host of the UNFCCC Secretariat, UNDP and UN Women and as an aspiring UN Security Council member, carries a particular responsibility to ensure that its consulates do not become the first barrier to legitimate global governance - and to the trust of the partners it depends on. The solutions exist. The precedents exist. What seems to be missing is the political will to act.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>The Current Column</category><author>Wagner, Niklas</author><pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2026 10:00:00 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/the-current-column/article/who-gets-a-seat-at-the-table-bonns-climate-talks-have-a-visa-problem/</guid></item><item><title>Social protection is essential to tackle poverty, hunger and inequality</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/the-current-column/article/social-protection-is-essential-to-tackle-poverty-hunger-and-inequality/</link><description>Development cooperation should continue supporting all low-income countries in establishing reliable social protection schemes.</description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bonn, 3 June 2026. <strong>Poverty and inequality are increasing in many countries. Investing in social protection may be the only way out.</strong></p><p>Over the last decades, the share of world population living in <a href="https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/opendata/september-2025-global-poverty-update-from-the-world-bank--new-da" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">extreme poverty has been declining</a>, except in the period just after the Covid-19 pandemic. However, in recent years <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/end-progress-extreme-poverty" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">the absolute number of people in poverty has slightly increased and is expected to rise</a> even more after 2030. This is due to various factors, including the increased number of conflicts and extreme weather events and the stagnation of economies. At the same time, <a href="https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/opendata/income-growth-of-the-poor-matters-for-reducing-global-income-ine" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">inequality</a> and the <a href="https://www.wfp.org/news/wfp-projects-food-insecurity-could-reach-record-levels-result-middle-east-escalation" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">number of people suffering from hunger</a> remain high at the global level and are even increasing in many countries.</p><p>These worrisome predictions call for renewed efforts in the fight against poverty, hunger and inequality. It is therefore very welcome that Germany’s Federal Ministry for Economic Development and Cooperation (BMZ) has maintained the eradication of poverty, hunger and inequality as the first of four goals in its recent reform plan. It is less clear, though, what instruments will be used to achieve this goal. This will be impossible without social protection, which includes contributory schemes like social insurance and non-contributory programmes like cash transfers or cash-for-work. The experience of countries around the world shows that social protection systems are crucial for combating poverty, hunger and inequality. It is no coincidence that social protection is the first policy area mentioned in the first Sustainable Development Goal, which deals with poverty eradication. BMZ, however, plans to fade out its commitment to social protection in most partner countries.</p><p>Scholars from <a href="https://muse.jhu.edu/pub/11/edited_volume/chapter/2184061" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Tulane University</a> provide evidence that most low- and middle-income countries have reduced poverty and inequality primarily through non-contributory social protection, health and education programmes. This result has previously been detected also <a href="https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2019/02/income-redistribution-across-oecd-countries_f2d12a2b/3b63e61c-en.pdf#:~:text=Taxes%20and%20transfers%20reduce%20the%20Gini%20index,to%20around%205%20per%20cent%20in%20Chile." target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">in high income countries</a>. Even China could not have achieved its remarkable poverty reduction without combining a major economic transformation with <a href="https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/bdadc16a4f5c1c88a839c0f905cde802-0070012022/original/Poverty-Synthesis-Report-final.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">redistributive policies, such as land reform and social protection schemes targeting the poor</a>. <a href="https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstreams/8f505de6-d365-4f10-aa5a-353c39616895/download" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">World Bank reports</a> indicate that the world will not be able to reduce the share of people living in extreme poverty to under 3% over the next 20 years if countries do not significantly intensify income redistribution by raising taxes and strengthening social protection.</p><p>Just promoting economic growth will not solve the problem, as this year’s <a href="https://www.neep-poverty.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/SRPoverty_The-Roadmap-for-Eradicating-Poverty-Beyond-Growth_draft.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Report of the United Nations Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights</a> emphasises. Especially when accompanied by high levels of inequality and driven by resource extraction or capital-intensive modes of production, growth has only limited effects on poverty. Such patterns are particularly widespread <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0305750X24002298#:~:text=The%20lower%20growth%20elasticity%20of,percent%20of%20households%20in%20SSA." target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">in Sub-Saharan Africa</a>, for example in <a href="https://journal.uinmataram.ac.id/index.php/jed/article/view/5506" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Nigeria</a> and <a href="https://academic.oup.com/jae/article/33/Supplement_1/i30/7919223?login=true" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">South Africa</a>.</p><p>The observation holds even more for <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/roiw.12578" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">multidimensional poverty</a>, which has declined much less than income poverty during the last decades, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. In fact, <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X22003096?via%3Dihub" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">economic growth has hardly any effect</a> on non-monetary dimensions of poverty in low- and middle-income countries.</p><p>In order to make a lasting contribution to the fight against poverty and hunger, economic growth should be labour-intensive and complemented – or even preceded – by investments in social protection, education and health. Especially non-contributory social protection programmes such as cash transfers are essential to address pockets of poverty, i.e. to reach out to those who do not benefit from economic growth. These pockets include people living in remote areas, people with limited education and training, <a href="https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_26_946" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">people with health impairments or disability</a>, and older adults. Contrary to what is sometimes claimed, these social protection schemes <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/articles/are-cash-transfers-good-for-jobs/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">do not discourage people from working</a>.</p><p>German development cooperation should therefore support crisis-affected countries, but also other low-income countries, in establishing and expanding <a href="https://doi.org/10.4337/9781839109119.00011" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">reliable and well-targeted non-contributory social protection schemes</a> and not end its commitment to social protection in large parts of the world. Other instruments, like social insurance, are also useful but do not help low-income people who cannot afford to pay their social contributions, especially if they make their living from informal, unstable employment.</p><p>Investing in social protection does not necessarily mean that donors like Germany should pay the cash transfers themselves. Through technical cooperation, they could support partner countries build up stable social protection systems, ideally incorporated in national constitutions or other legislative frameworks. People must know what kinds of benefits they are entitled to, and when. Only if they can rely on the long-term existence of social protection schemes, they can invest in human capital and in more remunerative economic activities, which could substantially improve their wellbeing. This is a prerequisite for the full unfolding of social protection's potential to promote social, economic and political development in all parts of the world.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>The Current Column</category><author>Burchi, Francesco / Markus Loewe</author><pubDate>Wed, 03 Jun 2026 09:08:57 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/the-current-column/article/social-protection-is-essential-to-tackle-poverty-hunger-and-inequality/</guid></item><item><title>Social protection for better health in Arab countries</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/social-protection-for-better-health-in-arab-countries/</link><description></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After World War II, countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) started from low levels of socioeconomic development. Especially health indicators were worse than in most other world regions. This changed drastically when MENA countries became independent and started to invest into the social protection of citizens against health risks. They built up powerful social health insurance schemes, and today, many of their health indicators are almost on the same level as in Europe or North America. During the 1980s and 1990, however, most MENA governments reduced healthcare spending again as an element of structural adjustment programs, and focused increasingly on health services that are particularly important for the urban upper and middle classes, their main allies in society, but not so much for the poor. Therefore, MENA health systems suffer again from significant deficits regarding fairness, efficiency, and effectiveness. Financial, legal, and geographical obstacles restrict access for large parts of the population. The coexistence of multiple social protection schemes for different population groups reflects and intensifies already existing social inequalities. Deficits in quality and tidiness and the prevalence of informal fees charged for “good” treatment reduce further the value of public health services. Efficiency suffers from irrational prioritizations in fund allocation and from a lack of customer orientation. And the effects of MENA health systems, although not really bad, could still be better, which has become more than obvious during the recent COVID-19 pandemic.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Loewe, Markus</author><pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2026 09:41:11 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/social-protection-for-better-health-in-arab-countries/</guid></item><item><title>African youth and the future of democracy: how social media and cohort size shape political participation</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/african-youth-and-the-future-of-democracy-how-social-media-and-cohort-size-shape-political-participation/</link><description></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Bonnah-Nkansah, Godfred / Christine Hackenesch</author><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2026 14:27:00 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/african-youth-and-the-future-of-democracy-how-social-media-and-cohort-size-shape-political-participation/</guid></item><item><title>Democracy promotion with ‘Chinese Characteristics’: how the Chinese Communist Party diffuses narratives on democracy</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/democracy-promotion-with-chinese-characteristics-how-the-chinese-communist-party-diffuses-narratives-on-democracy/</link><description></description><content:encoded><![CDATA[]]></content:encoded><category>External Publications</category><author>Bader, Julia / Christine Hackenesch </author><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2026 14:19:00 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/others-publications/article/democracy-promotion-with-chinese-characteristics-how-the-chinese-communist-party-diffuses-narratives-on-democracy/</guid></item><item><title>Global Ocean Cooperation? Frontiers and Chokepoints</title><link>https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/the-current-column/article/global-ocean-cooperation-frontiers-and-chokepoints/</link><description>Global maritime policy must critically examine corridor- and frontier-thinking in ocean cooperation and advance planetary perspectives.</description><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Bonn, 01 June 2026. </em><strong>In January, the High Seas Treaty entered into force, strengthening multilateral ocean cooperation</strong><strong>. At the same time, geopolitics threaten the ambition of the United Nations Ocean Decade.</strong></p><p>On World Oceans Day 2026, June 8, the ocean sits at the centre of a troubling paradox. After two decades of negotiations, the entry into force of the High Seas Treaty or the Agreement on Marine Biological Diversity of Areas beyond National Jurisdiction (BBNJ) on 17 January, marked a rare achievement in multilateral cooperation. BBNJ gives new political weight to biodiversity protection and benefit-sharing beyond national jurisdiction. And yet, archaic narratives continue to dominate oceans: extraction, military security, and territorial control.</p><p>What does Kalaallit Nunaat/Greenland have to do with the Strait of Hormuz? Very little, at first glance. One is often conjured as an Arctic “frontier” of melting ice, mineral wealth, Indigenous sovereignty, and great-power rivalry. The other has returned, singularly, as a maritime “chokepoint”, a narrow corridor where energy supplies, food security, shipping, and military threats converge. Yet, both are being drawn into the same grammar of resource and strategic access.</p><p>To frame these developments only as geopolitics misses the point. We are seeing a wider reordering of ocean space as infrastructure and political leverage. In Kalaallit Nunaat, talk of Arctic opportunity can push Indigenous self-determination and planetary environmental considerations to the margins. In Hormuz, disruption in a narrow strait exacerbates already precarious working conditions for seafarers and has global repercussions, hitting household economies within and far beyond the Gulf. Just as multilateral ocean cooperation gains traction, ocean politics is reverting to familiar habits of militarisation, route control, and hunger for resources, often cloaked in state strategic anxiety.</p><h2><strong>Ocean Cooperation: Torn between Corridor- and Planetary Thinking</strong></h2><p>Ocean governance has long imagined the high seas as open space, caught between free movement and enclosure. But this freedom was never universal. Across the Indian Ocean for example, passages linking the Gulf of Aden to the South China Sea were shaped by trade, diplomacy, unfree labour, pilgrimage, and monsoonal knowledge, but also by taxation and negotiated access. “Corridor thinking” has older maritime roots: movement has always rested on unequal relations of control.</p><p>Melting sea ice has spurred the imaginary of the Arctic as a "region of riches", providing access to rare earths, oil, gas, and shorter sea routes. This “resource optimism” and geostrategic thinking disregard national and international rules, laws, and voluntary agreements, keeping alive the view of the Arctic as an “empty white space” to be conquered. The Arctic is still treated as an environmental frontier, overlooking its four million inhabitants and its place within global social and environmental transformations.&nbsp;</p><p>The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) is the legal framework for marine and maritime activities, and can be seen as an unusually expansive form of planetary thinking from the 1990s. It made the ocean governable as a shared space of rights and responsibilities. Yet, the same architecture also made certain divisions appear self-evident, separating surface from depth, seabed from water column, shipping lanes from fishing grounds, and cable routes from military zones. Today, those divisions are stretched by maritime identities, regional alliances, Indigenous claims, and older oceanic histories. Chile’s constitutional debate around <em>maritorio</em> sees the sea as living territory. Indigenous claims of the Arctic as “homeland” and renewed attention to Afro-Asian maritime histories remind us that ocean politics has never belonged only to conventional security and defence planners. Beyond the UN Ocean Decade, new regional ocean politics is being shaped by heritage, memory, and the asymmetric dependencies that bind seemingly diverse maritime spaces.</p><p>There is a double standard: The sea is kept open for capital, energy, minerals, data, and naval mobility, but closed or policed for others. Shipping lanes and energy corridors are secured, while migrant routes are criminalised and Indigenous waters and island ecologies are made disposable. Ocean cooperation must therefore ask not only who is enabled to move and who is not, but also at what cost existing systems are kept afloat. It calls for confronting the politics of passage – not only as movement across water, but as labour and the relations that sustain coastal and oceanic life.</p><h2><strong><em>Quo Vadis</em></strong><strong> Global Ocean Cooperation?</strong></h2><p>Today, connected land-sea future-making faces a crisis of imagination and must confront geopolitics. There is an urgency to challenge corridor- and frontier-thinking and to advance planetary perspectives. As the potential location of the BBNJ secretariat in China reveals, BBNJ offers a chance to renew global cooperation by breaking new grounds. In addition to investments in critical ocean knowledge as envisioned by the UN Ocean Decade, we call for bolder political leadership recognising that maritime dynamics are not peripheral to energy security, food systems, climate action, or household survival. With the established multilateral order put into question, this moment invites us to re-imagine global ocean cooperation and re-design political structures by acknowledging interdependencies between people, marine life, infrastructures, markets, and living environments.</p>]]></content:encoded><category>The Current Column</category><author>Siriwardane-de Zoysa, Rapti / Dorothea Wehrmann</author><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2026 10:12:15 +0200</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="true">https://www.idos-research.dehttps://www.idos-research.de/en/the-current-column/article/global-ocean-cooperation-frontiers-and-chokepoints/</guid></item></channel></rss>
