Global Governance and Development: Great Transformations in the Global Economy (WS2014/2015)

Universität Duisburg-Essen, WS 2014/2015
Dirk Messner, Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE)
Tel.: +49 228 94927-110 (-111)

28 October 2014, 9.00 – 12.00 (ausgefallen)

4 November 2014, 9.00 – 12.00

Three waves of global change: Transformation of the global economy towards 2030/50…there might be a fourth wave 

Presentation Lecture 1: Four Waves of Global Change: The Great Gobal Transformation towards 2050

Messner, Dirk (2011): Three waves of global change – The dynamics of
global governance in the first half of the 21st century, in:  Thomas Fues/LIU Youfa (eds.), Global governance and building a harmonious world: a comparison of European and Chinese concepts for international affairs (Bonn: Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik / German Development Institute, Studies 62), 9-38*

Brynjolfsson, Erik; Andrew McAfee (2014), The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies, Norton, London

Kaplinsky, Raphael; Dirk Messner (2008): The Impact of Asian Drivers on the developing world, Special Issue, World Development, Nr. 2, 197-209

Kennedy, Paul (1989): The rise and fall of great powers, New York

Charles Kupchan et al. (2001): Power in transition. The peaceful change of the international order, Tokio/ New York

Nye, Joseph; John Donahue (2000): Introduction: Governance in a globalizing world, in: Joseph Donahue / Joseph Nye (Hrsg.): Governance in a globalizing World, Washington, 1-41*

OECD (2010): Perspectives on global development 2010. Shifting wealth, Paris (executive summary)

Reinhart, Carmen; Kenneth Rogoff (2009): This time is different. Eight centuries of financial folly, Princeton, 203-247

Streeck, Wolfgang (2011): The Crisis in Context. Democratic Capitalism and Its Contradictions.

World Bank Indicators
World Bank, GNI per capita Atlas
More data:;

11 November 2014, 9.00 – 12.00
a)   Three different perspectives on globalization
       Bhagwati, Jagdish, J. (2004): In defense of globalization, Oxford (Introduction) *
       Justin Lin (2010): New structural economics. A framework for rethinking development,
       World Bank Policy Research Paper 5197, Washington*
       Stiglitz, Joseph (2007): Globalization and its discontents, W. W. Norton, New York

       Fitoussi, Jean-Paul / Joseph E. Stiglitz (2011): Chairmen’s summary, in: Jean-Paul Fitoussi /
       Joseph E. Stiglitz and the Paris Group (eds): The  G20 and recovery and beyond. New York
       5-29; 33-38*

b)    From divergence to convergence in the new global economy?
       Subramanian, Arvind: Introduction, in: Arvind Subramanian (2011). Eclipse. Living in the  
       Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington D.C., 1-12*
       Subramanian, Arvind (2011): Eclipse. Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington

-    Forces driving dominance: convergence and gravity, 69 – 94
-    Projecting economies and currency dominance, 99 – 115
-    China as the new raison d’être for reviving multilateralism, 169 – 187

Spence, Michael (2011): The Next Convergence. The future of economic growth in a multispeed world. New York 

-    The global economy and developing countries, 3-25*
-    The high-growth developing countries in the postwar period, 53-70
-    China’s structural challenge, 194-205
-    Global Governance in a multispeed world, 247-273

25 November 2014, 9.00 – 12.00

    The new global poverty map … and the new global middle classes: Impacts on
         international politics?

       Sumner, Andy (2010): Global poverty and the new bottom billion, Brighton, IDS Working
       Papers Volume 2010, Issue 349, 1–43*

       Kharas, Homi (2010): The emerging middle class in developing countries, OECD Development
       Centre Working Paper No. 285, 2012*

       Sumner, Andy (2012): Beyond Low and Middle Income Countries: What if There Were Five
       Clusters of Developing Countries? IDS Working Papers Volume 2012, No. 404

b)    How do markets work? The role of institutions, rules, and human behaviour –
        different perspectives?

       Akerlof, George / Robert Shiller (2009): Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the
       Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism. Frankfurt/ New York, 29-92*

       Friedman, Milton (1990): Free too choose, New York*

       Ostrom, Elinor (2003): Toward a behavioural theory of linking trust, reciprocity, and
       reputation, in: Elinor Ostrom/ James Walker (2003) (eds.): Trust and reciprocity, New York,

16 December 2014, 9.00 – 12.00

a)    The great transformation towards sustainability

        Presentation of the Lecture: The Great Transformation towards sustainability

        German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU) (2011): World in transition – A social
        contract for sustainability, Berlin

        Leggewie, Claus/ Dirk Messner (2012): The low-carbon transformation—A social science
        perspective, in: Journal of Renewable
        and Sustainable Energy, Vol. 4, Issue 4*

        Additional material:
        WBGU Symposium on “Low Carbon Prosperity” (summary, papers, videos)

        Virtual WBGU - lectures on the “Great transformation towards sustainability”

b)    Development within the planetary boundaries: Green Growth? No Growth? Low
        Carbon Society? … Comparing Green Transformation Strategies

Please read the executive summaries of:

The global commission on the economy and climate (2014), The New Climate Economy Report, Better Growth - Better Climate. Washington

Jackson, Tim (2009): Prosperity without Growth, London

OECD (2011): Towards green growth, Paris

UNEP (2011): Towards a green economy, Nairobi

Worldbank (2012): Inclusive green growth, Washington

13 January 2015, 09.00 – 12.00

Long term dynamics in the global economy and in the Earth system – Challenges for global governance, policy makers and political science 

Presentation of the Lecture: Long term dynamics in the global economy – A challenge for policy makers and political science

1)    Long term innovation dynamics during the last 12.000 years…and during the past decade  

Brynjolfsson, Erik; Andrew McAfee (2014), The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies, Norton, London

Fogel, Robert W. (1999): Catching Up with the Economy, in The American Economic Review, Vol. 89, No. 1, S.1-21 *

2)      From the industrial revolution to the transformation towards sustainability
German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU) (2011): World in transition – A social contract for sustainability, Berlin

3)      Long term dynamics in the Earth system
Lenton, Timothy et al (2007): Tipping Elements in the Earth`s Climate system. in: PNAS, Jg. 105/6, S. 1786-1793*

Johann Rockström (2009): A safe operating Space for Humanity, Nature, Vol. 461, 24 September, 472-475*

Messner, Dirk/ John Schellnhuber/ Stefan Rahmstorf/ Daniel Klingenfeld (2010): The budget approach: A framework for a global transformation toward a low-carbon economy, in: Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy, Vol. 2, Nr. 3*

Williams, Mark / Jan Zalasiewicz,/ Alan Haywood /Mike Ellis (eds) (2011): Special Theme Issue 'The Anthropocene: a new epoch of geological time?' Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 369, 842-867

27 January 2015, 09.00 – 12.00

Cooperation in a globalized world – Can global governance work a world society of 9 billion people? Meta, macro and micro perspectives

Presentation of the Lecture: The behavioral dimensions of global cooperation

Bremmer, Ian: What is the G-Zero?, in: Ian Bremmer (2012): Every nation for itself. Winners and losers in a G-Zero World. New York, 7-35*

Bremmer, Ian: What comes next?, in: Ian Bremmer (2012): Every nation for itself. Winners and losers in a G-Zero World. New York, 151 - 184

Mearsheimer, John (2004): Why China`s rise will not be peaceful, Chicago*

Elinor Ostrom (1999): Revisiting the commons. Local lessons, global challenges, in: Science, Vol. 284, No. 5412, 278-282

Martin Nowak (2011): Super co-operators. Evolution, altruism and human behaviour, New York, preface, 1-20*, 267-284

Tomasello, Michael (2009): Why we cooperate. Cambridge.      
Messner, Dirk / Alejandro Guarin / Daniel Haun (2013): The behavioral dimensions of international cooperation. Discussion Paper, No. 1, Käte Hamburger Kolleg / Centre for Global Cooperation Research, Duisburg.*

10 February 2015, 09.00 – 12.00 (tbc)
Open Discussion 

(*) needs to be read