Conflict-induced trade dynamics: a gravity framework analysis of Sudan’s agricultural exports
Ayesu, Enock Kojo / Lukas Kornher / Daniel Sakyi / Hala AbushamaExternal Publications (2026)
in: War and Resilience: Khalid Siddig / Oliver K. Kirui / Paul Dorosh (ed.), The Multifaceted Impacts of Sudan's Conflict and Pathways to Recovery, Washington, D.C.: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Long before the April 2023 eruption of armed conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), Sudan’s economy was crippled by conflicts. The country’s agricultural production and productivity, internal trade, exports, and overall macroeconomic performance have all been adversely affected, and disruptions to the agrifood system, food insecurity, poverty, and malnutrition will likely remain if the conflict continues.
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