The impacts of economic sanctions on food (prices) security: evidence from targeted countries
Afesorgbor, Sylvanus Kwaku / Lukas Kornher / Fabio G. SanteramoExternal Publications (2025)
in: World Economy, first published 16.06.2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13739
Open access
Our paper examined the impact of economic sanctions on food prices and security. Anecdotal evidence suggests that food security is threatened in nations subject to sanctions. However, the causal link has not been proven. We employ a two-way fixed-effects approach and leverage the entropy balancing technique to ascertain the existence of a causal link. Our analysis relies on the Global Sanctions Database for sanctions and the FAOSTAT database for food security proxies: food prices and prevalence of undernourishment (PoU). Sanctions increase food prices: during the sanctions period, real food prices are higher by 1.24 percentage points compared to the non-sanctions period. Although the increase in food prices is marginal, overall food security is threatened, as the PoU is 2.1 percentage points higher during sanctions compared to periods without sanctions.