Governance Analyses for Transformation to Sustainability – Sustainable Development Pathways Achieving Human Well-being while Safeguarding the Climate and Planet Earth (SHAPE)
SHAPE will develop and analyse Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs) that achieve the SDGs in 2030 and maintain sustainable development to reach the Paris climate goals until 2100. The focus of the project evolves around the crucial interactions between climate action and other SDGs, the required system transformations to overcome trade-offs and enhance synergies and the effective means of governance facilitating the deep transformations required to climate action and other SDGs.
Elmar Kriegler (PIK)
Federal Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF) (DLR, No. 01LS19XXY) with co-funding from the European Union (No. 776608)
2019 - 2022 / completed
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Utrecht University (UU)
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University (SU)
Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU)
Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS)
The UN 2030 Agenda and its Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) present a vision fort he wellbeing of all people in prosperity, peace and partnership while preserving the integrity of the planet. The goal of protecting Earth’s climate, SDG13, is underpinned by the Paris Agreement to hold global warming well below 2°C, through an international climate action architecture of coordinated nationally determined contributions. Numerous processes at local, national and international level are in motion to implement these global agreements, but the current initiatives are unlikely to fulfil the ambition of the Paris Agreement, pointing to the need for ratcheting-up towards faster and more profound transformation processes. Similarly, the world is not on tract for meeting any of the SDGs. Several scientific papers have emphasized that an integrated approach is needed to benefit from possible synergies between climate targets and other SDGs – while mitigating possible trade-offs.
SHAPE will develop and analyse Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs) that achieve the SDGs in 2030 and maintain sustainable development to reach the Paris climate goals until 2100. To this end, the project sets out to analyze three key questions:
- What are the crucial interactions, both trade-offs and synergies, between climate action and other SDGs related to land and water, consumption and production, and questions of economic development and inequalities?
- Which system transformations can overcome trade-offs and enhance synergies to achieve a broad range of sustainable development objectives simultaneously?
- What are effective means of governance facilitating the deep transformations required to climate action and other SDGs while mitigating trade-offs and exploiting synergies between them, on both the regional and global level?
DIE contribution to SHAPE pertains to the analysis of governance of transformation to sustainability and of interlinkages of policies to achieve multiple policy goals. Transformation to sustainability does not only cover technological, but also societal, cultural and political changes. These changes challenge existing rules and norms of human interactions leading to the need to revisit social mandates in order to effectively address emerging path depedencies and power asymmetries. DIE’s contribution aims to highlight and advance social science knowledge for sustainability transformations, and strengthen the social science component of Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs).
The phases model of the transformation to sustainability (T2S): structuring through the negotiation perspective
Hernandez, Ariel Macaspac (2022)
in: Sustainability (14/9), 5024
Innovations for sustainability: pathways to an efficient and sufficient post-pandemic future
Nakicenovic, Nebojsa et al. (2020)
3rd report prepared by The World in 2050 Initiative (TWI2050), Laxenburg: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
SDG-aligned futures and the governance of transformation to sustainability: reconsidering governance perspectives on the futures we aspire to
Hernandez, Ariel (2021)
Discussion Paper 30/2021
Green industrial policy: accelerating structural change towards wealthy green economies
Altenburg, Tilman / Dani Rodrik (2017)
in: Tilman Altenburg / Claudia Assmann (eds.), Green industrial policy: concept, policies, country experiences, Geneva; Bonn: UN Environment; German Development Institute / Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), 1-20
Sustainability in the water-energy-food nexus
Bhaduri, Anik / Claudia Ringler / Ines Dombrowsky / Rabi Mohtar / Waltina Scheumann (2015)
in: Bhaduri, Anik / Claudia Ringler / Ines Dombrowsky / Rabi Mohtar / Waltina Scheumann (eds.), Water International: Sustainability in the water-energy-food nexus (Special Issue), 40 (5-6), 723-732
Does orchestration in the Global Climate Action Agenda effectively prioritize and mobilize transnational climate adaptation action?
Chan, Sander / Wanja Amling (2019)
in: International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, 1-18 (online first)
Governing the water-energy-food nexus related to hydropower on shared rivers: the role of regional organizations
Dombrowsky, Ines / Oliver Hensengerth (2018)
in: Frontiers in Environmental Science 6 (153), 1-16
Knowledge diplomacy in climate politics: global policy-making through regional lens
Hernandez, Ariel (2018)
published on Matthias Middell (ed.), The Routledge handbook of transregional studies, London: Routledge
Facilitar la toma de decisiones: escenarios de transformación de las economías bajas en carbon
Hernandez, Ariel (2018)
in: Helena Cabal / Efraín Gómez-Arias / Antonio Rodriquez Martínez (eds.), Perspectivas de Sustentabilidad en México, Madrid: Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Technológicas, Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad, 93-107
National climate change mitigation legislation, strategy and targets: a global update
Iacobuta, Gabriela / Navroz K. Dubash / Prabhat Upadhyaya / Mekdelawit Deribe / Niklas Höhne (2018)
in: Climate Policy 18 (9), 1114-1132
Tracing sustainability transformations and drivers of green economy approaches in the global south
Lederer, Markus / Linda Wallbott / Steffen Bauer (2018)
in: Journal of Environment and Development 27 (1), 3-25
Governing the transformations towards sustainability
Leininger, Julia / Ines Dombrowsky / Dirk Messner / Anita Breuer / Constantin Ruhe / Hannah Janetschek / Hermann Lotze-Campen (2018)
in: Elmar Kriegler / Dirk Messner / Nebojsa Nakicenovic / Keywan Riahi / Johan Rockström / Jeffrey Sachs / Sander van der Leeuw / Detlef van Vuuren (eds.), Transformations to achieve the sustainable development goals; Report prepared by The World in 2050 Initiative, Laxenburg: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), 107-126
The multilateralization of PTAs’ environmental clauses: scenarios for the future?
Morin, Jean-Frédéric / Clara Brandi / Axel Berger (2019)
in: Manfred Elsig / Michael Hahn / Gabriele Spilker (eds.), The shifting landscape of global trade governance, World Trade Forum, Cambridge: Cambridge Univ. Pr., 207-232
Implementing the 2030 Agenda for sustainable development: achievements and limitations of the G20 presidency in 2017
Scholz, Imme / Clara Brandi (2018)
published on Global Summitry 10 February 2018
Chapter scientists in the IPCC AR5: experience and lessons
Schulte-Uebbing, Lena / Gerrit Hansen / Ariel Macaspac Hernández / MartenWinter (2015)
in: Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 14 (June), 250-256
Politics of equity and justice in climate change negotiations in North–South relations
Penetrante, Ariel (2010)
in: Hans Günter Brauch / Úrsula Oswald Spring / Czeslaw Mesjasz / John Grin / Patricia Kameri-Mbote / Béchir Chourou / Pál Dunay / Jörn Birkmann (eds.), Coping with global environmental ehange, disasters and security: threats, challenges, vulnerabilities and risks, Berlin, Heidelberg, New York : Springer, 1355-1366